NY-20: Murphy in the Lead

27 Mar

The fact that Democrat Scott Murphy now enjoys a slim 4-point lead over Republican Assemblyman Jim Tedisco underscores one very important fact: the Republican Party doesn’t know what the hell it’s doing – not statewide, not nationwide. It isn’t so much a political party as it is a loose confederation of malcontents. The Atlantic’s Marc Ambinder called the GOP a PINO – party in name only.

This NY-20 race was a test – could the Republicans find a winning message? Could they pull their shit together enough to eke out a win in a district where they enjoy a very large enrollment advantage?

Apparently not.

When you have a special election, it enables the very best and brightest campaign workers in a party to come and help out. After all, there’s not much else to do. Jim Tedisco, who enjoyed a 12-point lead when Gillibrand got sent to the Senate, has suffered negative momentum ever since. Murphy has run a competent campaign built on his credentials as a successful upstate businessman. Sound familiar? It’s what the GOP runs in Erie County.

Tedisco, on the other hand, is an Albany hack extraordinaire. He’s hardly a real Republican, and he’s part of the same Albany machine that everyone mocks and hates. But Tedisco for weeks refused to say how he’d have voted on the Obama stimulus package. Murphy made hay of this:

When Tedisco finally took a stand, the result was this:

and this:

That “that’s an Albany politician for you” line? I’ll bet it gets repeated throughout the state in years to come.

How desperate and pathetic has the losing Tedisco campaign become?

How about trotting out the 9/11 hijackers for a full minute to make a point about the death penalty? Consider the sheer stupidity of talking about the death penalty for suicide bombers.

Or how do push-poll robo-calls strike you? Tedisco is clearly poised to lose and clearly out of ideas. This 9/11 crap and the push polling stuff is a last-minute hail Mary, and it will never work.

As goes Tedisco, so may go Michael Steele.

9 Responses to “NY-20: Murphy in the Lead”

  1. Ward March 27, 2009 at 8:11 pm #

    Another balanced, unbiased analysis.
    Take care not to jump the snark.

  2. Keller March 28, 2009 at 9:06 am #

    Isn’t it cute that a dying, pathetic, nanny state will elect ANOTHER Democrat…I suppose it is if you look at it from afar. Do yourself a favor New York, vote Conservative before it is too late.

  3. Ward March 28, 2009 at 9:34 am #

    My bad. I hadn’t realized that this interim election in a Congressional district remote from WNY was in fact an informal referendum on The One and his “stimulus” program. Of course, in that case it merits BP’s maximum cheerleading efforts.

    Indeed, the poll numbers for Murphy do sort of resemble the approval numbers for The One’s “stimulus”–slightly over 50 percent, according to Zogby. I guess, to complicate things a bit, we should take a look at whether Murphy’s numbers match those of his predecessor, Gillibrand. If not, does that mean that The One is not faring as well as he should? Time then for a stronger effort by Pundit? More Youtube dumps? We await with keen anticipation.

  4. Denizen March 28, 2009 at 11:28 am #

    Note to all you Republican apologists: Your party is bankrupt and doesn’t stand for jack shit anymore.

  5. Starbuck March 28, 2009 at 1:28 pm #

    It would be good to have this seat held by somebody who would usually vote against Pelosi’s efforts to step on the gas for expanding the federal government. Tedisco apparently meets that minimal standard.

    OTOH, Tedisco’s delay in saying he’d have opposed the stimulus is troubling. His attack a few days ago against IBM for outsourcing sounded like something Pelosi would say. And Tedisco says he’d have voted yes for the 90% retroactive tax last week. That alone is enough to want him to lose.

    It’s one of those races like Mesi-Ranzenhofer in which it’s a shame they can’t both lose. Brown-Kearns will be another if that happens.

    If I lived in NY-20 I might stay home, but probably I’d go vote for Tedisco as the slightly lesser evil than Murphy. After all, every good reason to vote against Tedisco is also a good reason to vote against Murphy. Tedisco losing or winning won’t make any difference in making the Repub Party a more coherent alternative. That will take some time and might never happen.

  6. Starbuck March 28, 2009 at 1:47 pm #

    EVen with all the Repub incompetence, it’s interesting and surprising that the generic Congressional ballot polls are moving in their direction the past couple weeks.

    Even NPR admitted finding that recently in one of their polls that R’s are now tied with D’s nationwide for the generic Congressional ballot. A recent Rasmussen poll has R’s slightly ahead.

    These are big changes from earlier in the year when D’s had a big lead.

  7. Keller March 28, 2009 at 5:12 pm #

    @Denzien don;t worry, the current Democratic rising will end just as quick as the Neo-con rise in the late 1990’s. Another Reagan will reemerge and fix this big government, nanny government. However, if you like taxes, big bulky government programs, union grips on overtime and productivity, and being told what to do when, vote Democrat.

  8. Brent March 31, 2009 at 6:01 pm #

    Democratic Candidate Scott Murphy is using controversial Republican figures to get voters to come out to the polls on Tuesday. Let’s see if the times union does it’s job and asks Murphy about this.

    Scott Murphy for Congress truth about bonuses

    Scott Murphy for Congress tax problem

    Scott Murphy for Congress against death penalty

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